By Jerry Paffendorf on November 22, 2015
Hello, all. This is Jerry Paffendorf, CEO of LOVELAND Technologies.
You know we make property information free at makeloveland.com. We also sell Site Control, the world’s best software to collect and work with it.
This summer, the Western Reserve Land Conservancy used Site Control to survey every single property in Cleveland, Ohio.
We packaged the results into a new report and map they are using to raise funds, plan, and take action: makeloveland.com/reports/cleveland.
The value is enormous, but the cost of our software and support for their organization was only $10,000.
Some people say we're stupid to charge so little, but our vision is for everyone who works with property information to use Site Control.
To help make that happen, we are willing to go above and beyond for organizational customers who sign up before the end of the year.
If you commit to sign up for Site Control now we can lock in the following package:
• $9,000 for one year with as many maps and members as you need (or ½ off for nonprofits)
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You can see more about Site Control at sitecontrol.us, but you need to write to me at email@example.com or call 313-338-3825 for the deal.
Please let me know if you're interested and I will reserve your spot or answer any questions.
CEO, LOVELAND Technologies
1514 Washington Blvd, Suite 201
Detroit, MI 48226
By Alex Alsup on November 9, 2015
Waves of tax foreclosed properties still crash on Detroit year after year. In 2016, absent any kind of large scale intervention, 60,000 more Detroit properties will head to auction, approximately 40,000 of them occupied homes containing around 100,000 Detroiters.
2015 marked the fifth year LOVELAND tracked Detroit and Wayne County properties as they tumbled through the tax foreclosure process. Our understanding of the underlying system of foreclosure is more sophisticated than it was when we first put foreclosed properties on the map, yet we still feel like we're learning and large chunks of how the system operates still feel opaque to us.
What follows is a look at some larger trends and questions after five years of work tracking tax foreclosure. First, though, are thoughts on three things that can determine how the next five years unfold:
1.) The reassessment of Detroit's property taxes.
A major force driving the tax foreclosure crisis are Detroit's property taxes which are untethered from the actual value of Detroit property. The reassessment will be critical to bringing assessments into line and should prioritize participation in the payment of property taxes over the amount collected.
2.) Annual citywide surveys of Detroit property.
As called for by the Blight Task Force, the city needs to be resurveyed annually to measure progress and inform decision making. Data collected in Motor City Mapping is approaching its second birthday, and resurveys thus far have been either topic driven (such as fire and foreclosures) or concentrated in certain neighborhoods. Data collected in citywide surveys can and should inform everything from property assessments, to fire prevention, to demolition efforts, investment, foreclosure prevention, and more.
3.) The next Wayne County Treasurer.
The next treasurer has a huge hand in setting the agenda for the future of tax foreclosure, delinquent tax collection, the execution of foreclosure auction, and the direction of unsold or bundled property into public hands. Obviously, we're on the edge of our seats.
Now for the last five years of tax foreclosure...
Sold vs. Unsold Properties
The past five foreclosure auctions added a total of 54,299 unsold properties to public ownership roles in Detroit.
In other words, more than 50% of all publicly owned land in Detroit fell into the city's hands in just the last 5 years.
More than 12,500 of those now publicly owned properties came via the use of "blight bundling" which was first employed at scale in 2014 as a tactic to move blighted structures away from speculators and into the hands of the Detroit Land Bank where the properties could be demolished, sold as side lots, and fed into other land bank programs.
For the first time since 2011, more properties went unsold in this year's auction than sold. Those 12,282 unsold properties will likely be transferred to the Detroit Land Bank. That's on top of the 6,366 properties that were packaged in this year's blight bundle.
Occupied Homes Sold vs. All Properties Sold at Auction
The share of residential properties purchased while occupied (the yellow portion in the bar chart above) has remained steady at around 50% - 55% between 2013 and 2015:
- 2013: 55%
- 2014: 54%
- 2015: 51%
Data collected in the citywide survey of Detroit, Motor City Mapping, helped us figure out how many people are in homes going through tax foreclosure. A subsequent survey project we conducted revealed how many homes, occupied at the time of foreclosure, wound up vacant a year later -- nearly 1,000 of the 6,000 occupied homes sent to auction in 2014 are now empty.
No resurvey of the occupied homes at the 2013 auction has been conducted, and of course 2015's auction has only just ended, but if 2014 is any indication, thousands of properties from the last five years that were occupied at the time of tax foreclosure may now sit vacant.
Only 2013 - 2015 auctions are represented here as those are the years where occupancy data is available and our surveying operations have been active. Backcasting the occupancy data to 2011 and 2012 would be unreliable.
Average Auction Price for Houses in Hardest Hit Fund Zones
Detroit's Hardest Hit Fund Zones, where federal demolition money can be spent, are often described as "tipping point" areas where intervention can prevent a neighborhood from slipping into vacancy and decline.
The HHF zones have received significant investments including targeted demolitions, nuisance abatement of vacant properties, and auctions of rehab-able land bank properties. Perhaps as a result of this increased attention, residential properties in HHF zones at auction are garnering higher bids.
The average sales price of a residential property (both occupied and vacant houses) inside a Hardest Hit Fund zone increased 111% between 2011 and 2015, compared to 40% for residential properties outside HHF zones.
However, residential property sales in HHF zones at tax auction still outnumber, and sell for far less, than normal property sales.
A recent report looking at the impact of HHF demolitions on willing buyer / willing seller property sales within HHF zones (i.e. non-distressed sales) found the average sale price of an occupied home was ~$24,000 (c. 2013 - 2015).
There were ~5,500 willing buyer / willing seller sales of occupied homes within HHF zones in the period including the 2013 and 2014 tax foreclosure auctions. By comparison, there were approximately 6,500 tax auction sales of occupied residential properties inside HHF zones in 2013 and 2014 at an average price of ~$5,200.
Tax Delinquency Recidivism in Hardest Hit Fund Zones
Another risk factor for the HHF zones, and auction sales across the city, is the rate at which properties sold at tax auction fall back into tax delinquency and foreclosure.
Of the approximately 16,700 houses sold in Hardest Hit Fund zones between 2011 and 2014, 27% (~4,600) are current on their taxes.
The 12,000 properties that fell delinquent, again, since auction sale are on track to return to foreclosure auctions over the next few years.
The tax status of properties in areas like the HHF neighborhoods is an important indicator to watch. If auction buyers start to pay property taxes and avoid the cycle of foreclosure, it could be an indication that buyers see the properties as longer term investments, rather than short to medium term opportunities to extract rent from tenants while neglecting the property taxes, and walking away when properties return to auction. This kind of behavior represents only a portion of auction buyers, and it's a behavior understood only anecdotally, but we hear enough of it to know the dynamic is well represented across the city.
Tax status data comes from the Wayne County Tresurer's tax payment portal, which Loveland scrapes for data annually when updates are made.
Current Tax Status of All Properties Sold at Auction Between 2011 and 2015
The 27% tax payment rate amongst HHF properties is slightly better than rates citywide.
Of 45,817 tax auction sales between 2011 and 2015, only 18% of properties (8,370) are current on their taxes.
Everything else is either behind on its taxes and was foreclosed again in 2015 ("Foreclosed", in the chart above), headed to foreclosure again next year ("Subject to Foreclosure"), or headed to foreclosure in another year or two ("Delinquent").
What does it all add up to?
That is how much is owed in delinquent taxes, fees, & penalties by properties sold at auction between 2011 and 2014 in Detroit. Citywide, there are $526,000,000 in uncollected delinquent taxes, fees, & penalties outstanding.
New laws went into effect this year that aim to curb the ability for speculators to purchase property at auction when they already own other properties with unpaid taxes. However enforcement may prove difficult as speculators adept at using LLCs, or purchasing through family members, require time consuming research to identify.
We have said it long enough now, but it bears repeating: Tax foreclosure is itself a symptom of deeper problems (unemployment, population loss, overassessed property taxes) but it is a symptom that can kill its host. It must be addressed if Detroit is to recover.
In the map below, you can explore the current tax status of every property sold at auction between 2011 and 2015. Shown here are properties in the 48205 zip code:
By Alex Alsup on October 26, 2015
Areas of Concentration for Suspicious Fires, Arsons, and Occupied Homes Adjacent to Vacant Properties
Identifying Fire Hazards, Saving Occupied Homes
Loveland Technologies has assembled a citywide map to support this year's Angel's Night* efforts in Detroit. Hot spots experiencing higher rates of suspicious fires and arsons are identified, and we've included an analysis showing every occupied residential structure in the city with a publicly owned vacant structure touching any side of the occupied property.
Vacant properties adjacent to occupied homes are critical to note for three reasons:
10% of fires (167, from January 1 '15 thru August 1, '15) in Detroit over the past year have been “exposure fires” -- fires that spread from one building to an adjacent building.
There have been more than twice as many fires categorized by the fire department as suspicious or arsons in vacant structures than in occupied ones (570 vacant, versus 251 occupied, from January 1 '15 thru August 1, 2015).
Publicly owned vacant properties can be demolished, removing potential fuel for fires and risk from occupied homes. In Hardest Hit Fund zones there are myriad instances where vacant structures adjacent to occupied homes have been removed through city demolition efforts. We hope this map can be useful to that continued work as well.
Taken together, this indicates that vacant structures that fall within arson “hot spots” are at particular risk, and those adjacent to occupied homes within these areas warrant particular attention on Angel’s Night.
With the latest data available, citywide, Loveland identified approximately 11,700 occupied homes adjacent to approximately 8,800 vacant publicly owned structures.
Example of Occupied Homes Adjacent to Vacant Publicly Owned Structures on the East Side of Detroit
Explore a Hot Spot
In the map below**, you can explore a part of the city experiencing a high concentration of suspicious fires and arsons this year -- the area bounded by I-94, I-96, and Dearborn to the West.
Reading the Map
- Red Properties = Vacant Publicly Owned Structures
- Green Properties = Occupied Homes
- Black Properties = Suspicious or Arson Fires (c. 2015)
- Blue Properties = HHF Demolitions
To navigate to other hot spots within the map, click the "Focus Areas" menu in the left sidebar in the map above and then the boundaries of the area you want to navigate to. Also, hot spots are linked to individually at the bottom of the post.
Fire Hazards by Council District
Additionally, for those coordinating Angel's Night activities by Council District, below are links to maps of each of the seven Council Districts -- all maps contain the information seen in the map above (vacant publicly owned structures, adjacent occupied homes, suspicious fires, and demolitions).
* District 1
* District 2
* District 3
* District 4
* District 5
* District 6
* District 7
Fire Hazards by Hot Spot
Each of the hot spots in the map above can be reached by using the links below:
* FORT ST-OUTER DR
* CHICAGO BLVD-JOHN C LODGE-DAVISON ST
* HOOVER-GRATIOT-7 MILE-8 MILE
* E MCNICHOLS RD-CONTANT ST
* JOHN R-8 MILE
* CHALDEAN TOWN
* 8 MILE-GREENFIELD-7 MILE-SOUTHFIELD
* GRAND RIVER-I 96
* I-96 / I-94 / CITY LIMITS
Notes and Background
Note that this map is not intended to be comprehensive, but to identify higher risk situations where occupied homes can be affected by nearby fires. Private vacant structures are also a significant risk factor when adjacent to an occupied home. To explore and identify additional vacancies across the city, refer to Motor City Mapping.
If you navigate to neighborhoods where Hardest Hit Fund demolition money is available, you'll notice a clear effort to remove vacant structures from next to occupied homes. In the image below, blue properties are demolitions and green properties are occupied homes. A significant percentage of vacant structures, and potential fuel for arsonists, has been removed from the area by HHF demolitions.
Demolitions on the east side of Warrendale
*- The night before Halloween - Devil's Night - has been associated with rampant arson across Detroit for decades. At its peak in 1984, over 800 fires were set in the three days before Halloween. By the mid-1990s, the annual destruction caused by Devil’s Night prompted community action and Angel’s Night was created in response. On nights leading up to Halloween, volunteers patrol neighborhoods and keep watch over houses in an effort to deter would-be vandals and arsonists. Angel's Night has been a huge success, credited with contributing to a significant decline in Halloween arson levels.
** This map includes demolitions up to September 1, 2015, and makes use of occupancy / vacancy data from Motor City Mapping -- always verify this information in the field, especially as many properties have not been resurveyed since the initial winter of 2013 / 2014 survey. Fire data is assembled as a part of Loveland's ongoing fire tracking in 2015.